Outright Value Tracker
Compare slow-moving South African bookmaker outright prices with prediction-market-derived fair odds. Every displayed bookmaker price must have a source URL, timestamp and screenshot evidence.
Prediction-market prices are used as a reference point for implied probability, not as an exact fair value. Back prices can exclude fees and do not include the full bid/ask spread.
Normalisation approach: this page currently compares raw bookmaker prices against reference fair odds. The edge includes bookmaker margin and is not a normalised full-book comparison.
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- No bookmaker price appears without a source URL, timestamp and saved screenshot path.
- Missing readings stay empty. Prior prices are never carried forward.
- Readings older than 10 days are marked stale.
- Reference markets are labelled as reference data only and are not linked from this page.